The day has come: Reform is polling slightly higher than the Conservatives in the “Who do you intend to vote for?” Yougov UK general election polls: 19% against 18%.

Yougov reports that the difference is well within the error of margin for their survey, so one can’t confidently say that Reform is winning that mini-contest yet - but it certainly seems to be a possibility.

They’re still not expected to win many actual seats. But hey, it must nonetheless be kind of embarrassing for the Cons, and a shame that any protest votes are shifting in that direction for those of us who are really not Reform fans.