The day has come: Reform is polling slightly higher than the Conservatives in the “Who do you intend to vote for?” Yougov UK general election polls: 19% against 18%.

Yougov poll results over time in a line chart showing Reform edging up and above the Conservatives for the most recent entry

Yougov reports that the difference is well within the error of margin for their survey, so one can’t confidently say that Reform is winning that mini-contest yet - but it certainly seems to be a possibility.

They’re still not expected to win many actual seats. But hey, it must nonetheless be kind of embarrassing for the Cons, and a shame that any protest votes are shifting in that direction for those of us who are really not Reform fans.